Hartford Athleticvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 9/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hartford Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hartford Athletic 2-1 Colorado Springs
Original prediction
Hartford Athletic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.4% | 41.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 26.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.1% | 32.2% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hartford Athletic
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Hartford Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00