Hartford Athleticvs
Charleston Battery
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleston Battery · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hartford Athletic 1-1 Charleston Battery
Original prediction
Charleston Battery
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.0% | 31.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.0% | 40.2% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Charleston Battery
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20