Hartford Athleticvs
Brooklyn
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hartford Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hartford Athletic 1-0 Brooklyn, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hartford Athletic 2-3 Brooklyn
Original prediction
Hartford Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.7% | 66.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.4% | 20.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 6.15 | 14.9% | 12.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Hartford Athletic 1–0 Brooklyn
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hartford Athletic
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Hartford Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20