GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/24/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityDDLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Harrow BoroughWinchester City
47.6Attack50.0
23.0Defence46.8
31.0Form45.2
36.0Power48.2
1.59xG2.21
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