GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/14/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineWDLLD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Harrow BoroughSwindon Supermarine
47.6Attack57.9
23.0Defence27.0
31.0Form38.9
36.0Power42.8
2.22xG2.52
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