GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/4/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Salisbury are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

66.0%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughLLWDD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburyWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Harrow BoroughSalisbury
47.6Attack55.6
23.0Defence63.5
31.0Form62.7
36.0Power62.5
1.05xG2.56
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