GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Poole TownWLDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Harrow BoroughPoole Town
47.6Attack33.3
23.0Defence66.7
31.0Form50.0
36.0Power53.0
1.39xG2.11
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