Harrow Boroughvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80