GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

66.4%

Model confidence

66.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Harrow BoroughMerthyr Town
47.6Attack67.5
23.0Defence53.2
31.0Form53.2
36.0Power57.2
1.36xG3.05
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