GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hendon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HendonLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Harrow BoroughHendon
47.6Attack55.6
23.0Defence48.4
31.0Form46.0
36.0Power51.9
1.53xG2.47
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