Harrow Boroughvs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/1/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Harrow Borough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80