GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/1/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughDLLWD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedWDWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Harrow BoroughChesham United
47.6Attack65.9
23.0Defence63.5
31.0Form71.4
36.0Power67.2
1.03xG3.08
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