GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrow Borough hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrow BoroughLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownDDLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Harrow BoroughBasingstoke Town
47.6Attack50.0
23.0Defence0.0
31.0Form0.0
36.0Power21.5
1.87xG2.04
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