GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Harrogate Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest U21 hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Nottingham Forest U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest U21

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Nottingham Forest U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrogate TownLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nottingham Forest U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Harrogate TownNottingham Forest U21
55.6Attack41.7
11.1Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
37.2Power49.1
1.77xG1.79
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