Harrogate Townvs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harrogate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Harrogate Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrogate Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Harrogate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Harrogate Town
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Harrogate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80