GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Harrogate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Harrogate Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrogate Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Harrogate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Harrogate Town

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Harrogate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrogate TownLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Newcastle United U21DLWLL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Harrogate TownNewcastle United U21
55.6Attack22.2
11.1Defence55.6
33.3Form11.1
37.2Power32.9
1.84xG1.60
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