GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/24/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Harrogate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Harrogate Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrogate Town hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Harrogate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Harrogate Town

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Harrogate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrogate TownLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool U21LLLLW

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Harrogate TownLiverpool U21
55.6Attack50.0
11.1Defence8.3
33.3Form25.0
37.2Power29.2
2.43xG1.81
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