Harrogate Townvs
Gateshead
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Harrogate Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gateshead are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrogate Town hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 10.5% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.7%
Model confidence
10.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60