GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Harrogate Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Harrogate Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Forest Green are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrogate Town hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the League Two, while Harrogate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Harrogate Town

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Harrogate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrogate TownWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Forest GreenLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Harrogate TownForest Green
43.5Attack31.9
50.0Defence43.5
45.7Form30.4
47.9Power37.2
1.63xG0.84
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