GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Harrogate Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Blackpool are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blackpool

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harrogate TownLLLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BlackpoolLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Harrogate TownBlackpool
55.6Attack61.9
11.1Defence61.9
33.3Form76.2
37.2Power67.9
1.38xG2.32
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