Harrogate Townvs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Harrogate Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Accrington ST are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60