Harkemase Boysvs
VV Scherpenzeel
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 9/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harkemase Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harkemase Boys 0-0 VV Scherpenzeel
Original prediction
Harkemase Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 45.8% | 40.1% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.3% | 31.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Harkemase Boys
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Harkemase Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40