Harkemase Boysvs
Hoogeveen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harkemase Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harkemase Boys 2-1 Hoogeveen
Original prediction
Harkemase Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.4% | 41.4% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 27.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.8% | 31.6% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Harkemase Boys
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Harkemase Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20