Harkemase Boysvs
Excelsior '31
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Excelsior '31 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harkemase Boys 4-0 Excelsior '31
Original prediction
Excelsior '31
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 35.7% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 26.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.2% | 37.9% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Excelsior '31
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Excelsior '31 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20