Harelbekevs
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harelbeke 0-3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Original prediction
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.2% | 27.8% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 22.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.1% | 49.6% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20