Harelbekevs
Hoogstraten
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoogstraten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harelbeke 3-3 Hoogstraten
Original prediction
Hoogstraten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.2% | 32.4% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.3% | 25.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 42.5% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hoogstraten
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Hoogstraten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20