Harborough Townvs
Worksop Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harborough Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Harborough Town 0-0 Worksop Town, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Harborough Town 1-1 Worksop Town
Original prediction
Harborough Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.9% | 45.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.6% | 28.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.6% | 26.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Projected Score
Harborough Town 0–0 Worksop Town
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Harborough Town
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Harborough Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40