GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Harborough Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marine are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Harborough Town hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring a draw with 13.9% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.1%

Model confidence

13.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Harborough TownDDDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MarineLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Harborough TownMarine
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.44xG1.05
View match centre →