Hapoel Yarkavs
Beitar Nahariya
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beitar Nahariya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Yarka 0-1 Beitar Nahariya
Original prediction
Beitar Nahariya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.28 | 17.0% | 32.9% | 15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.6% | 27.2% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.4% | 39.9% | -20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Beitar Nahariya
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Beitar Nahariya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20