Hapoel Umm al-Fahmvs
Tira
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/18/2026, 2:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-1 Tira
Original prediction
Tira
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 37.9% | 30.3% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.0% | 26.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.1% | 43.5% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Tira
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Tira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hapoel Umm al-FahmWDDDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TiraWWWDD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Umm al-FahmTira
53.3Attack66.7
53.3Defence72.2
46.7Form77.8
54.5Power73.1
1.08xG1.61