GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maccabi Petah Tikva are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivLDDLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Maccabi Petah TikvaWDDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Petah Tikva
66.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence58.3
33.3Form25.0
45.3Power39.1
1.59xG1.15
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