GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/2/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maccabi Netanya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Netanya hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Ligat Ha'al, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivDDLLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Maccabi NetanyaDWWLD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Netanya
35.4Attack36.4
48.5Defence51.5
34.3Form38.4
41.0Power43.7
1.09xG1.04
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