Hapoel Tel Avivvs
Hapoel Ramat Gan
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Ramat Gan
Original prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 65.0% | 53.0% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 6.67 | 13.7% | 22.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20