Hapoel Tel Avivvs
Hapoel Petah Tikva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/18/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Original prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.7% | 56.3% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 20.2% | 23.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 7.51 | 12.2% | 19.9% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20