GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/5/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLDW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hapoel Petah Tikva are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivDLDW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Hapoel Petah TikvaLDL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Petah Tikva
66.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence41.7
33.3Form25.0
45.3Power34.2
1.84xG1.14
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