GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/19/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hapoel Hadera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hapoel HaderaDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Hadera
66.7Attack40.0
33.3Defence46.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power43.0
1.74xG1.28
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