GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

12.5%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivLWDWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AtalantaWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
58.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
58.3Form50.0
62.0Power50.0
1.72xG1.11
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