Hapoel Tel Avivvs
Atalanta
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta
Original prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.78 | 16.1% | 36.8% | 20.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 22.1% | 26.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 61.8% | 36.4% | -25.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60