GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/9/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ashdod are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Tel AvivLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
AshdodLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivAshdod
66.7Attack20.0
33.3Defence80.0
33.3Form53.3
45.3Power54.1
1.25xG1.14
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