Hapoel Sderotvs
Hapoel Herzliya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Herzliya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Sderot 0-0 Hapoel Herzliya, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Sderot 2-2 Hapoel Herzliya
Original prediction
Hapoel Herzliya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.7% | 33.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.5% | 29.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 34.8% | 37.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Sderot 0–0 Hapoel Herzliya
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Herzliya
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Hapoel Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.20/0.20