Hapoel Sderotvs
Hapoel Azor
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Sderot · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Sderot 0-0 Hapoel Azor
Original prediction
Hapoel Sderot
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.4% | 41.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.2% | 28.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.5% | 30.7% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Sderot
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Hapoel Sderot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40