Hapoel Rishon LeZionvs
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Rishon LeZion · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3-0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Original prediction
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.4% | 73.0% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 16.1% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.4% | 11.0% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Probability
73.0%
Model confidence
73.0%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60