Hapoel Rishon LeZionvs
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Rishon LeZion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Original prediction
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.0% | 57.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.3% | 22.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 19.7% | 19.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40