Hapoel Rishon LeZionvs
Kiryat Yam SC
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Rishon LeZion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 4-2 Kiryat Yam SC
Original prediction
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.4% | 41.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 26.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.4% | 32.3% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60