Hapoel Rishon LeZionvs
Kafr Qasim
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Rishon LeZion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2-1 Kafr Qasim
Original prediction
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.9% | 44.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 26.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.7% | 28.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60