Hapoel Rishon LeZionvs
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Rishon LeZion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0-3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Original prediction
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.5% | 58.8% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.8% | 19.0% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.7% | 22.1% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20