Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvs
Hapoel Sderot
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1-0 Hapoel Sderot
Original prediction
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.6% | 43.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 27.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 25.9% | 28.9% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00