Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvs
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Original prediction
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.4% | 32.4% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 27.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.1% | 40.0% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00