Hapoel Ramat Ganvs
Maccabi Petah Tikva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Petah Tikva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ramat Gan 1-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Original prediction
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.9% | 35.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.5% | 26.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.6% | 38.6% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Maccabi Petah Tikva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60