Hapoel Ramat Ganvs
Maccabi Netanya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Netanya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2-0 Maccabi Netanya
Original prediction
Maccabi Netanya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 20.1% | 23.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.6% | 24.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.3% | 51.7% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Netanya
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60