Toto Cup Ligat Al
Hapoel Ramat Gan
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Hapoel Petah Tikva
AwayThe model projects 1.40 xG for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.02 xG for Hapoel Petah Tikva. Hapoel Petah Tikva's projected xG of 1.02 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Hapoel Ramat Gan's defensive record — 2 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Hapoel Petah Tikva's limited attacking output (4 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.42 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Hapoel Ramat Gan's Defensive Stability (66) and Hapoel Petah Tikva's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesHapoel Ramat GanHapoel Petah TikvaProbability breakdown
Hapoel Ramat Gan leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Hapoel Ramat Gan Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Hapoel Ramat Gan host Hapoel Petah Tikva in Toto Cup Ligat Al. Hapoel Ramat Gan have recorded WWWDLW in recent matches while Hapoel Petah Tikva arrive with a run of DDWLDW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 1.9 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Hapoel Ramat Gan are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.40 projected against 1.02 for Hapoel Petah Tikva. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.38 is the clearest signal in the model that Hapoel Ramat Gan are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows Hapoel Petah Tikva have won 5 of the last 10 meetings — a competitive history that suggests Hapoel Ramat Gan's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.
Risk factors
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.38 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
Recent form
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
GoalVio's model predicts Hapoel Ramat Gan to win with 42% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.