Hapoel Ramat Ganvs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ramat Gan 1-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Original prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.17 | 14.8% | 25.1% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.6% | 26.4% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 63.6% | 48.4% | -15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00