Hapoel Ramat Ganvs
Beitar Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/11/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ramat Gan 0-4 Beitar Jerusalem
Original prediction
Beitar Jerusalem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.24 | 17.4% | 28.1% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.7% | 24.8% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 61.9% | 47.1% | -14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Beitar Jerusalem
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80