Hapoel Ra'ananavs
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Ra'anana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ra'anana 0-1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Original prediction
Hapoel Ra'anana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.8% | 53.8% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 23.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 22.5% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Ra'anana
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Hapoel Ra'anana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20